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Sunday, June 27, 2010
Black Swan
A black swan is just what the name suggests a black swan
However it is also a description of something considered impossible
Until that is a black swan was found in Australia
Up until that time swans were all considered to be white
Since that first back swan was found others have since been noted
In other words something is known to be impossible until events prove otherwise
Interesting maybe but not exactly what I want to talk about
What I want to talk about is how humans insist on saying something is impossible until events prove otherwise
From stock markets to traders statistics people will state that something is impossible because it makes their life easier
Then bang suddenly the event occurs
The result is almost always extreme
And then after the event papers appear explaining how it was predictable
Society then accepts this official version explaining how it was really predictable all along
Not so
If these events were really predictable then someone would have predicted them
They did not
And had they done so they would probably have been laughed at
Called mad even
Take the 1914 world war - no it was not predicted
9/11 - no it was not predicted
Ash clouds in 2010 - no they were not predicted nor was it seen that this would all but flatten the aviation industry
No it was not foreseen, but watch, over the coming months articles will appear explaining how it was really predictable
We seem to have a genetic problem in admitting that we do not know many things
No we do not know the next rare event that will impact us
No we do not have any clue
What we do know is that these events are are fortunately quite rare
And we do know that the next one's impact will be severe
Time to understand that what we do not know is more important than what we know
Forget it
We are not ready to acknowledge this nor to talk about it
Society likes to pretend it knows everything
Governments like to pretend they do too
Just observe for yourself that we do not know and that this is important
In your own life the same applies what you don't know is far more important than what you do know
Why?
Because many of the major events in your life will stem from things you do not know
Think about it how many of the major events in your life so far came from things you knew beforehand?
Not many if at all
So?
Look at your life through new eyes
Live in this moment now because what you do not know is surely going to impact you and your life
So the only intelligent thing to do is live for this moment now as the unknown will come along anyway whatever we do
So waste no more energy worrying about this and that because it will not come about as you think anyway
Let go, enjoy life please without so much worry because life is not going to happen as you think
The unexpected will always have more impact on our lives than the expected
There are more Black swans out there
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