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Sunday, August 29, 2010
Understanding
There is an illusion of understanding in our modern world
Everyone thinks he knows what is going on in a world which is more complicated or random than they realise
The overvaluation of factual information and the real handicap of authoritative and learned people particularly when they create categories
Our minds are wonderful expelling machines capable of making sense out of almost anything
Unfortunately we can only asses matters after the fact
Pundits are capable of of providing convincing explanations for all manner of phenomena after the fact
The more intelligent the person the better sounding the explanation
All these accounts appear to be logically coherent and devoid of inconsistencies
Upon examination however they are found to be anything but
Too late by the time objections arise
Even if they are allowed, which often they are not being obscured in official reports, committees and commissions to name but a few ways of hiding things
Or we have already moved on
Modern media like to make us think that we know more than we actually do
But this does not happen everywhere
Models and constructions, intellectual maps of reality are not always wrong
They are wrong only in some specific applications
The difficulty is that you do not know before where the map will be wrong
Only the fact that they will be wrong
And the mistakes this causes can lead to very severe consequences
This is where the gap between what you know and what you think you know becomes dangerously wide
And never more than in these confusing times where financial, business, social, climate and other certainties are anything but today
No one can see the next unexpected event
But we can be very sure that there is one coming down the road towards us
No if, only when and what
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